On Wednesday (October 16), in the Asian market, spot gold maintained its intraday rebound trend after a significant increase the previous day, with the gold price currently hovering around $2,666 per ounce. Valeria Bednarik, the Chief Analyst at FXStreet, wrote an article analyzing the technical outlook for gold. Bednarik stated that gold prices rose in the previous trading session, approaching the high point of the week, not far from the record high of $2,685.45 per ounce set in September.
On Tuesday, due to the New York State manufacturing activity performing much worse than expected, the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yield fell, which propelled spot gold to surge nearly $15 that day. The New York Fed reported on Tuesday that the New York State October manufacturing index was -11.9, a significant decrease of 23.4 points from September, far below the market's general estimate of 3.0. This index measures the percentage difference between companies reporting expansion and contraction.
Spot gold closed higher by $14.10 on Tuesday, up 0.53%, at $2,662.60 per ounce; the highest price during the session touched $2,668.95 per ounce. Bednarik pointed out that there is room for gold prices to expand their gains, with gold bulls seeking to set new historical highs. Geopolitical tensions provide support for gold prices.
Technical Analysis: From a technical perspective, there is room for gold prices to expand their gains. For instance, the gold daily chart shows buyers defending the gold price near the bullish 20-day simple moving average (SMA), and the relative strength index (RSI) is modestly trending higher, supporting the bullish argument.
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Fundamental Analysis: Fundamentally, multiple factors such as the global economic situation, central bank policies, geopolitical tensions, and market supply and demand relationships will continue to affect gold prices. If global economic uncertainty persists, central banks adopt accommodative policies, geopolitical tensions escalate, and the demand for safe-haven assets continues to increase, then gold prices are expected to continue rising.
However, it is also necessary to be aware of the risk of corrections that may come with a rapid increase in gold prices. Investors should closely monitor changes in global economic data, central bank policy dynamics, and geopolitical situations to adjust their investment strategies in a timely manner.
For investors, whether to continue investing in gold after a significant rise requires careful consideration. On one hand, gold, as a safe-haven asset, has its unique investment value; on the other hand, it is also necessary to pay attention to the risk of corrections that may come with a rapid increase in gold prices. Therefore, investors should make reasonable investment decisions based on their own risk tolerance and investment objectives.